Around 36 hours after the first facts relating to the disappearance of MH370 became known, this analyst published a blog stating that unlawful cockpit interference - whether it be from pilots, crew or hijackers, was the most likely cause. This remains my view. See blog below for my previous updated post.
http://siegfriedwalther.blogspot.com/2014/04/mh370-24-april-2014-update.html
AND SEE: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/asia/malaysia/10933917/MH370-New-evidence-of-cockpit-tampering-as-investigation-into-missing-plane-continues.html This article suggests their is reason to believe someone in the cockpit deliberately turned a power unit off. This evidence isn't surprising. It serves to confirm that the pieces of the puzzle, as I originally pieced them together, fit.
THE LATEST ATSB THEORY CHANGES NOTHING
The ATSB theory is essentially that the aircraft was on autopilot when it crashed and that it is likely nobody on board was alive when it crashed. There are some who think this is a game changer. It is not. Here is an extract from a report from the New Zealand Herald:
"The Australian Transport Safety Bureau report said its assumption had been made only to help define a search area and was not intended to infringe on Malaysia's role in identifying the cause of the airliner's disappearance."
It is clear from the reports that the ATSB's theory is based upon the aircraft's estimated flight path. They believe that its stability is indicative of an aircraft on Autopilot. They have declined to explain who put in on autopilot and they have certainly not dealt with the aircraft's route changes prior to it eventually settling on its final estimated course which it held for several hours.
The ATSB theory that the aircraft was on autopilot for its final hours is quite likely. Also, the aircraft may or may not have been depressurised at the time. Nobody knows.
But the odds that aircraft depressurisation was the initial cause of the disappearance of the plane is remote for the reasons I have dealt with in my earlier blog. If you consider the reasoning my blog, (see link in this article) one is left with a deliberate unlawful act as the likely scenario.
The arguments some advance that some technical failure can explain all the aircraft's movements, the timing of certain events, the lack of response from the pilots, etc etc seem fanciful and highly unlikely. Too many pieces of this puzzle don't fit!
Nothing has changed! A hijacker or suicidal pilot or crew member caused MH370's disappearance.
It is clear from the excerpt I quoted that the ATSB themselves are not trying to explain the cause of the crash with their latest theory. Their theory is aimed purely at ascertaining the likely final events which occurred in the cockpit with a view to assisting them in the SEARCH!
ABSENCE OF WRECKAGE
In the same blog, I dealt with the absence of debris / wreckage and the implications thereof. I am of the view that continuing the search in the Southern Indian Ocean in the absence of any confirmed wreckage being found, especially on the W Australian coasts or the W Tasmanian coasts, is unwise.
I suggested months ago that the odds of finding the aircraft without some clues which the wreckage/debris could provide were small. Nothing has changed.
See also: Shocking Air France 447 BEA Whitewash:
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