#MH370 Update10 August 2014 Houston, still think u gotta problem

First: Introduction:  Second: Summary of My blog on 24 April re lack of debris Third: LATEST re MH370 search:  News.com. Au  9 August 2010 - A few paragraphs down. In previous blogs I have mentioned that I hold Angus Houston who is the Australian Air Chief Marshall in high regard. He seems a cautious sensible man who has never shied away from the enormity of the challenge faced by those  searching for #MH 370 and who has always made an effort to be sure of his facts, and most of all, who has tried not to raise the expectations  of those waiting for news of loved ones.  On 24 April 2014 I wrote the following regarding the absence of any debris. (  See:  http://siegfriedwalther.blogspot.com/2014/06/mh-370-new-atsb-theory-does-not-exclude.html   This contains most of my #MH370 posts .)


" However, the absence of any debris from the aircraft is becoming a serious concern, particularly since seven weeks have elapsed since it vanished.

Experts in Ocean currents have suggested that debris from the search areas linked to the Southern Corridor is likely to travel westwards, and could end up either on the Western Australian Coast  or the Western Tasmanian Coast. This ought to have occurred by now. Yesterday at 11 am UK time, it was reported that debris which may be linked to the missing MH370 airliner may have washed up on a beach to the south of Perth, Australia. The Australian Transport Safety Bureau have reported that this debris is NOT part of flight MH370. I assume that regular searches of the entire Western Australian Coast, much of which is apparently remote, are being conducted in addition to the searches at sea. If not such searches should be initiated at once.

If debris which is identified as coming from the aircraft does not turn up on the said coasts reasonably soon, it will raise serious questions as to whether the missing airliner's black boxes were indeed the source of the pings which were detected. The chances that the aircraft remained intact after it crashed, or even a pilot controlled water landing at sea are highly remote.

It is so that the aircraft remained intact during the recent miracle landing on the Hudson river in New York. Firstly, the river was relatively flat, and the pilot involved demonstrated superb airmanship. One cannot, however, compare a river to that part of the Indian Ocean, which usually has high swells. If a wing or an engine of the aircraft, were to strike the a wave or the water, slightly before the other engine or wing, the forward momentum of the remainder of the aircraft would force the plane to cartwheel around the point of that strike and a partial or total breakup of the aircraft would be inevitable. I refer people to the Ethiopian Airlines crash off the Seychelles, which was filmed and is available in the Internet.

If we accept the "suicidal pilot" theory, and further accept that he was alive and in control until the end, then its likely he tried to replicate the Miracle landing on the Hudson. After all, if his plan was to make the aircraft disappear in a deep part of the ocean where it would be difficult to find, it would make sense to make the plane's recovery even more difficult by attempting to land it intact so it could sink intact. However, as stated above, it is unlikely that such an intact landing and sinking at sea would be successful.

It can thus be assumed that the aircraft is likely to have broken up and that significant floatable debris, from seat cushions to items of luggage would have been strewn across the point of impact. Further items would have floated to the surface later.  


Given the costs involved of an expanded underwater search, it is now imperative that debris from the plane is found. Although I still favour the generally accepted theory that the Southern Corridor is the likely route the aircraft followed, and I also accept that the pings are most likely to have originated from the aircraft, the absence of any debris after all this time is causing me, and others, to wonder whether the Northern Corridor, or perhaps other flight paths were perhaps prematurely excluded. The longer the period without any debris becomes, the more the view that everyone in the search may have to go back to the drawing board will continue to gain ground. "

  Air Chief Marshal Angus Houston Source: News

Corp Australia

 

News.com. Au  9 August 2010

THE SEARCH
Despite massive international search efforts there has been no sign of MH370, since it went missing. This week, the Australian government signed a $52 million contract with Dutch company Fugro Survey, who will scour 60,000 sq km of the ocean floor — an area about the size of Tasmania — for the plane.


MORE: Will Fugro be able to solve one of the world’s greatest mysteries?
The search will focus in the southern Indian Ocean, off the coast of Western Australia, where Deputy Prime Minister Warren Truss said he is “cautiously optimistic” it lies.
The company will use two ships towing submarines equipped with sonar and video to scan the depths in a search made even more complicated by underwater volcanoes and ocean trenches up to 4.8km deep.


COMMENT 10 August 2014: HOUSTON, still think you gotta problem.....

My opinion on 24 April 2014 (over 3 months ago) is that proceeding with the search in the Indian Ocean remains a waste of time until some item, preferably items of debris turn up.  I predicted then that proceeding to search without debris to serve as a pointer at least towards the "the haystack", the search is likely to be a waste of money and time. In fact, I said that that the longer it is that no items of debris surfaces, the more questionable the location of the aircraft in the estimated search area becomes. I won't repeat the reasons.

I remain of this view. Of course, I'd love to be proven wrong and I wish the search parties everything of the best.  I would wait for debris despite the  obvious pressure to solve the mystery of the aircraft's final location..
SG WALTHER 10 August 2014

+Angus Houston

#MH370

+MH370 Update

+ MH 370

+Malaysian 370

#MH370News

SEE ALSO my blog On AIR FRANCE 447: http://siegfriedwalther.blogspot.com/2014/05/air-france-447-bea-whitewash-af447.html    SHOCKING WHITEWASH BY AUTHORITIES!


AND http://siegfriedwalther.blogspot.com/2014/08/aircrash-ntsb-of-us-and-nab-of-south.html