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Thursday 19 May 2016

#MS 804 Egyptair flight. Initial views

#MS804 INITIAL COMMENTS - S G WALTHER
 
+Egyptair  Flight 804 High Altitude "crash".

13 04 CAT  UPDATE Greek authorities report plane made sudden swerves, dropped by 22000 feet and & spun before disappearance

Potential Causes:

1 Terrorist Act. (e.g.. bomb)
2 Catastrophic Technical failure (e.g. with rudder or other control surface
3 Fire
4 Unlawful act from pilot or someone else as is most likely the case with MH370 and was the case with the Germanwings crash.
5 Pilot Error usually in concert with simultaneous less serious technical problem e.g.. allowing the aircraft to stall (AF 447)
...
In AF 447 an iced-up pitot tube which measures air speed failed and caused the on board computer to send warning messages. The pilots allowed themselves to become overwhelmed by these warning messages, failed to fly a perfectly flyable plane properly, and allowed it to stall. Another example of such a high altitude stall caused by pilot error is recent Air Asia crash.

STRANGE THAT NO WRECKAGE HAS BEEN FOUND

Egypt Air crash. Strange that no wreckage has been found in three or so hours since first light despite being in Med - an area with heavy traffic incl fishing vessels, commercial vessels, passenger vessels etc.
In fact its so busy, that its odd no-one seems to have seen or heard anything at the time.

It is of course remotely possible that there is no wreckage because  a "Hudson" type landing occurred and that the plane went down intact. But one has to remember that the Hudson was a river, which is usually quite flat.

At sea, even if the pilot was able to attempt to do the same, history has shown that some part of the aircraft, often an engine, touches the sea before the other and the aircraft then violently cartwheels around that part and breaks up. E.g.  Ethiopian Air Crash near the Seychelles.

EERIE SIMILARITY TO MH 370??
Also: the aircraft apparently disappeared after signing off from Greek Air Traffic Control. There is no indication as yet that the aircraft completed the handover to Egyptian ATC before it disappeared. Have a look at my window of opportunity theory regarding MH370. Link below.

UPDATE 12:54 CAT  It seems now that aircraft failed to respond to Greek ATC shortly before it was supposed to be handed off to Egyptian ATC. It disappeared from radar shortly after entering Egyptian airspace.

QUESTION: WHY AFTER AF 447 & MH370 are we still unable to find missing airliners quickly???? When will we learn??

SG WALTHER 19 May 2016
 See also my views on MH370

http://siegfriedwalther.blogspot.co.za/2015/10/mh370-clive-irvings-deadly-cargo.html
 

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